"There's no need for concern": NASA has greatly reduced the risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth.
NASA officials have conducted new observations of asteroid 2024 YR4, reducing the likelihood of it colliding with Earth to 0.28%, or 1 in 360. Previously, the risk was estimated at 3.1%, which translates to approximately 1 in 32.
2025-02-21 10:00:54https://naked-science.ru/community/1032652
NASA specialists emphasized that “the likelihood of a collision is extremely low and there is no cause for concern.”
The asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered by astronomers in December 2024, has become the most hazardous celestial body in the history of NASA's Center for Near Earth Object Studies (CNEOS).
Despite a significant reduction in collision risk, 2024 YR4 remains at the top of the CNEOS risk table. The next most hazardous "space rock" is 1950 DA, with a collision probability with Earth in the year 2880 estimated at 0.039%.