“It is increasingly likely that AI will surpass the intelligence of any individual by the end of 2025, and possibly all of humanity by the 2027-2028 timeframe. The probability that by 2030 AI will exceed the collective intelligence of all humans is 100%,” wrote Musk on the social network X.
If this prediction comes true, a strong artificial intelligence capable of performing tasks using cognitive abilities similar to those of humans could emerge as early as next year. It will enter an endless phase of self-improvement cycles, with each new generation of AI appearing at an accelerating pace, leading to a kind of “intellectual explosion” and ultimately creating a superintelligence that surpasses the intelligence of all humanity.