The alliance of the USA, Russia, and China: will the "Washington-Moscow-Beijing" axis divide Europe and Ukraine?
In recent months, significant shifts have been observed in both the political rhetoric of the leaders of the USA and Russia, as well as in global strategic communications in general. The administration of American President Donald Trump is actively working to establish relations with Russia. The rhetoric regarding aggression and war crimes by the Kremlin has almost completely vanished from public discourse. Instead, the idea of a new "thaw," a de-escalation of relations, and the search for mutually beneficial compromises has taken center stage. Moscow, in turn, responds with similar complimentary statements.
This is well demonstrated by the recent vote on the resolution regarding Ukraine in the UN Security Council. The document did not mention that the Russian Federation is an aggressor. Instead, both Kyiv and Moscow were urged to come to an agreement as soon as possible and to cease hostilities.
What is most intriguing about this overall picture is China's position. For the first time in many years, the USA, the Russian Federation, and the PRC have synchronously supported an international document, and not just any document, but one at the level of the UN Security Council. Today, Beijing actively endorses the rapprochement between Washington and Moscow, calling this process a "window of opportunity" for peace in Ukraine and for global stabilization.
It would seem that, logically, given the confrontation between America and China, the latter should oppose any attempts by the Americans and Russians to reconcile. But no, it is quite the opposite.
This raises the question: what is actually happening between the parties? Are these tactical maneuvers and political rhetoric, or is a new global alliance forming? Why is such a union entirely possible, and who might be its main victim? Not only Ukraine but all of Europe? Political analyst UA.News Nikita Trachuk, along with experts, delves into the situation.
Strategic Paradigm Shift
The main strategic shift in the foreign policy of the Trump era USA concerns the fact that the Russian Federation is officially no longer the primary adversary for America on a geopolitical level. Instead, the need for negotiation and compromise is articulated. This is reflected in plans for cooperation with rare earth metals in Russia (Trump's idée fixe), as well as in deliberately complimentary rhetorical techniques, etc. Moreover, both the US president and his team have repeatedly stated that the main threat to America is not Russia, but China.
This approach is very beneficial for the Russian Federation. The long-standing conflict with the USA and Western countries in general has been and remains quite exhausting for Moscow. An unprecedented number of sanctions, partial isolation, constant diplomatic pressure, etc. – none of this benefits any state. Therefore, the warming and de-escalation of relations with America provide the Kremlin with a chance for renewal and a way out of a strategic deadlock. Even if the price for this involves certain compromises.
However, the most unexpected aspect in this case is once again China's reaction. It seems that the PRC considers the "thawing" of dialogue between the USA and the Russian Federation to be something very positive and beneficial for itself. This is evidenced by the aforementioned joint vote on the resolution regarding Ukraine in the UN Security Council, as well as the rhetoric from the country's Foreign Ministry. The Chinese constantly welcome the warming of relations, approve of any contacts, express hope for a "consensus" between America and Russia, etc.
This support for de-escalation appears rather strange for China. Especially considering the fact that Trump's supporters have repeatedly labeled the PRC as America's main advers